Probability Model Outputs: National Assessment of Nor'easter-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Mid- and Northeast Atlantic Coast (Polyline Shapefile)

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Frequently anticipated questions:


What does this data set describe?

Title:
Probability Model Outputs: National Assessment of Nor'easter-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Mid- and Northeast Atlantic Coast (Polyline Shapefile)
Abstract:
These datasets contain information on the probabilities of nor'easter-induced erosion (collision, overwash and inundation) for each 1-km section of the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast, from North Carolina through Maine, for class 1-3 nor'easters. The analysis is based on a storm-impact scaling model that uses observations of beach morphology combined with sophisticated hydrodynamic models to predict how the coast will respond to the direct impact of class 1-3 nor'easters. Nor'easter-induced water levels, due to both surge and waves, are compared to beach and dune elevations to determine the probabilities of three types of coastal change: collision (dune erosion), overwash, and inundation. Data on dune morphology (dune crest and toe elevation) and hydrodynamics (storm surge, wave setup and runup) are also included in this dataset. As new beach morphology observations and storm predictions become available, this analysis will be updated to describe how coastal vulnerability to storms will vary in the future. The data presented here include dune morphology observations, as derived from lidar surveys taken between May and July 2010 and in November 2012.
  1. How might this data set be cited?
    Birchler, Justin J., Dalyander, P. Soupy, Stockdon, Hilary F., and Doran, Kara S., 20150921, Probability Model Outputs: National Assessment of Nor'easter-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Mid- and Northeast Atlantic Coast (Polyline Shapefile).

    Online Links:

    This is part of the following larger work.

    U.S. Geological Survey, 2015, National Assessment of Nor'easter-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Mid- and Northeast Atlantic Coast.

    Online Links:

  2. What geographic area does the data set cover?
    West_Bounding_Coordinate: -78.548858
    East_Bounding_Coordinate: -69.725425
    North_Bounding_Coordinate: 43.780844
    South_Bounding_Coordinate: 33.850068
  3. What does it look like?
  4. Does the data set describe conditions during a particular time period?
    Beginning_Date: 04-May-2010
    Ending_Date: 29-Nov-2012
    Currentness_Reference:
    ground condition
  5. What is the general form of this data set?
    Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: vector digital data
  6. How does the data set represent geographic features?
    1. How are geographic features stored in the data set?
      This is a Vector data set. It contains the following vector data types (SDTS terminology):
      • String (1991)
    2. What coordinate system is used to represent geographic features?
      Horizontal positions are specified in geographic coordinates, that is, latitude and longitude. Latitudes are given to the nearest 8.9831528411952133e-009. Longitudes are given to the nearest 8.9831528411952133e-009. Latitude and longitude values are specified in Decimal Degrees. The horizontal datum used is D WGS 1984.
      The ellipsoid used is WGS 1984.
      The semi-major axis of the ellipsoid used is 6378137.0.
      The flattening of the ellipsoid used is 1/298.257223563.
  7. How does the data set describe geographic features?
    Noreasters_erosion_hazards
    Probabilities of nor'easter-induced coastal erosion, dune morphology, and nor'easter hydrodynamic data. (Source: USGS)
    FID
    Internal feature number. (Source: Esri) Sequential unique whole numbers that are automatically generated.
    Shape
    Feature geometry. (Source: Esri) Coordinates defining the features.
    DHIGH
    Elevation of dune crest in meters NAVD88. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.958297
    Maximum:46.906606
    Units:meters NAVD88
    DLOW
    Elevation of the dune toe in meters NAVD88. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.903735
    Maximum:7.123182
    Units:meters NAVD88
    DHIrms
    Root mean squared error of dune crest elevation measurements (square meters). (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.031295
    Maximum:12.021563
    Units:square meters
    DLOrms
    Root mean square error of dune toe elevation measurements (square meters). (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.012952
    Maximum:3.270477
    Units:square meters
    SURGE1
    Storm surge water level for a class 1 storm. (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.772525
    Maximum:2.229094
    Units:meters NAVD88
    SURGE2
    Storm surge water level for a class 2 storm. (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.011087
    Maximum:2.499437
    Units:meters NAVD88
    SURGE3
    Storm surge water level for a class 3 storm. (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.297647
    Maximum:2.846024
    Units:meters NAVD88
    RUNUP1
    Wave runup water level for a class 1 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.983955
    Maximum:9.33028
    Units:meters NAVD88
    RUNUP2
    Wave runup water level for a class 2 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.190305
    Maximum:10.770283
    Units:meters NAVD88
    RUNUP3
    Wave runup water level for a class 3 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.446597
    Maximum:13.578389
    Units:meters NAVD88
    SETUP1
    Wave setup water level for a class 1 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.060643
    Maximum:4.034949
    Units:meters NAVD88
    SETUP2
    Wave setup water level for a class 2 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.073873
    Maximum:4.657976
    Units:meters NAVD88
    SETUP3
    Wave setup water level for a class 3 storm. (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.087308
    Maximum:5.872471
    Units:meters NAVD88
    PCOL1
    Probability of collision from class 1 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.031562
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    PCOL2
    Probability of collision from class 2 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:2.202268
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    PCOL3
    Probability of collision from class 3 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:19.727957
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    POVW1
    Probability of overwash from class 1 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:99.99999
    Units:percent
    POVW2
    Probability of overwash from class 2 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:100.0
    Units:percent
    POVW3
    Probability of overwash from class 3 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    PIND1
    Probability of inundation from class 1 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:99.833556
    Units:percent
    PIND2
    Probability of inundation from class 2 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    PIND3
    Probability of inundation from class 3 storm (Source: USGS)
    ValueDefinition
    -999Null value
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.00
    Maximum:100.00
    Units:percent
    MEAN1
    Mean water level for a class 1 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.815728
    Maximum:5.590826
    Units:meters NAVD88
    MEAN2
    Mean water level for a class 2 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.075374
    Maximum:6.483548
    Units:meters NAVD88
    MEAN3
    Mean water level for a class 3 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.398169
    Maximum:8.042241
    Units:meters NAVD88
    EXTREME1
    Extreme water level for a class 1 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:0.815728
    Maximum:10.886157
    Units:meters NAVD88
    EXTREME2
    Extreme water level for a class 2 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.075374
    Maximum:12.595855
    Units:meters NAVD88
    EXTREME3
    Extreme water level for a class 3 storm (Source: USGS)
    Range of values
    Minimum:1.398169
    Maximum:15.748159
    Units:meters NAVD88

Who produced the data set?

  1. Who are the originators of the data set? (may include formal authors, digital compilers, and editors)
    • Justin J. Birchler
    • P. Soupy Dalyander
    • Hilary F. Stockdon
    • Kara S. Doran
  2. Who also contributed to the data set?
    The predicted elevations of storm surge for class 1-3 nor'easters were extracted from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) model, which was completed over a 31-year period from 1979 to 2009 and was designed and executed as a global, high resolution, coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface-sea ice system to provide the best estimate of the state of these coupled domains over this period. The predicted elevations of high tide were extracted from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) tide gages at six long-running gage locations along the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast. Wave runup and setup conditions were generated using the NOAA WaveWatch III (NWW3) model results using winds from the CFSR. The wave runup and setup conditions were complemented by measured data from six long-runnng NOAA National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) wave buoys in shallow water along the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast.
  3. To whom should users address questions about the data?
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: Hilary Stockdon
    600 4th Street South
    Saint Petersburg, FL
    UNITED STATES

    727-502-8074 (voice)
    727-502-8001 (FAX)
    hstockdon@usgs.gov

Why was the data set created?

To provide data on the probability of nor'easter-induced coastal erosion hazards for the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast.

How was the data set created?

  1. From what previous works were the data drawn?
    CFSR (source 1 of 11)
    National Centers for Environmental Prediction, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 201001, NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    Data provides hourly estimates of non-tidal surge and was used to estimate storm surge water level under nor'easter classes.
    NWW3 (source 2 of 11)
    Environmental Modeling Center, National Weather Service, National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, 20131001, NOAA WAVEWATCH III CFSR Reanalysis Hindcasts.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    Data provides wave parameters every three hours and was used to estimate wave runup and setup under nor'easter classes.
    Tides (source 3 of 11)
    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    Data provides hourly estimates of tidal water levels (at Duck, NC; Ocean City Inlet, MD; Sandy Hook, NJ; Montauk, NY; Boston, MA; and Portland, ME) and was used to assimilate storm surge water level under nor'easter classes.
    Wave Buoys (source 4 of 11)
    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    Data provides hourly estimates of wave parameters (near Virginia Beach, VA; Cape May, NJ; Islip, NY; Montauk Point, NY; Boston, MA; and Portland, ME) and was used to assimilate significant wave height and dominant wave period in order to estimate wave runup and setup under nor'easter classes.
    USACE NE (source 5 of 11)
    Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), and  JALBTCX (Joint Airborne Lidar Bathymetry Technical Center of eXpertise), 201408, 2010 US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Joint Airborne Lidar Bathymetry Technical Center of eXpertise (JALBTCX) Topobathy Lidar: Northeast (MA, ME, NH, RI).

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USACE SE (source 6 of 11)
     Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), and  JALBTCX (Joint Airborne Lidar Bathymetry Technical Center of eXpertise), 20141114, 2010 US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Joint Airborne Lidar Bathymetry Technical Center of eXpertise (JALBTCX) Southeast Lidar: Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USACE East LI, NY (source 7 of 11)
    Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), 201301, 2012 USACE Post Hurricane Sandy Topographic LiDAR: Eastern Long Island, New York.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USGS NC, VA, MD, DE, NY Post-Sandy (source 8 of 11)
    Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), and U.S. Geological Survey, 201306, 2012 U.S. Geological Survey Topographic Lidar: Northeast Atlantic Coast Post-Hurricane Sandy: USGS Data Series 765.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USACE West LI, NY (source 9 of 11)
     Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), and  JALBTCX (Joint Airborne Lidar Bathymetry Technical Center of eXpertise), 201305, 2012 USACE Topobathy Lidar: Post Sandy (NJ & NY).

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USGS NJ Post-Sandy (source 10 of 11)
    U.S. Geological Survey, and  Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), 20140715, 2012 USGS EAARL-B Coastal Topography: Post-Sandy, First Surface (NJ): USGS Data Series 767.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
    USGS MV, NK Post-Sandy (source 11 of 11)
    Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM), 201301, 2012 USACE Post Hurricane Sandy Topographic LiDAR: Rhode Island and Massachusetts Coast.

    Online Links:

    Type_of_Source_Media: Online digital data
    Source_Contribution:
    A lidar survey that was used to estimate dune morphology variables.
  2. How were the data generated, processed, and modified?
    Date: 2014 (process 1 of 4)
    For dune morphology data: Elevation data from lidar surveys were interpolated in MATLAB (R2014a) to a gridded domain that was rotated parallel to the shoreline and had a resolution of 10 m in the long-shore direction and 2.5 m in the cross-shore direction. The interpolation method applies spatial filtering with a Hanning window that is twice as wide as the grid resolution. Dune morphology data are extracted from the elevation grid in MATLAB. Dune morphology data are then summarized to 1 km sections. Sections with greater than 75 percent of data missing are flagged with the invalid number of -999. The 1-kilometer smoothed dune crest, toe and root mean square (RMS) error for each were written to line shapefiles using Matlab's shapewrite.m script. Person who carried out this activity:
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: Justin J. Birchler
    600 4th Street South
    Saint Petersburg, FL
    UNITED STATES

    727-502-8019 (voice)
    727-502-8001 (FAX)
    jbirchler@usgs.gov
    Data sources used in this process:
    • USACE NE
    • USACE SE
    • USACE East LI, NY
    • USGS NC, VA, MD, DE, NY Post-Sandy
    • USACE West LI, NY
    • USGS NJ Post-Sandy
    • USGS MV, NK Post-Sandy
    Data sources produced in this process:
    • Dune morphology (DHIGH, DLOW, DHIrms, DLOrms)
    Date: 2015 (process 2 of 4)
    For hydrodynamic data: Water level is computed in MATLAB (R2014a) by adding storm surge from NOAA NCEP CFSR model to wave setup and runup. The wave height and period for calculating wave runup and setup come from the NWW3 model. Hydrodynamic parameters were calculated in MATLAB and exported into ArcGIS format. For details on modeling parameterization, see: Stockdon, H.F., Doran, K.J., Thompson, D.M., Sopkin, K.L., Plant, N.G., and Sallenger, A.H., 2012, National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal erosion hazards: Gulf of Mexico: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2012-1084, 51 p. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2012/1084/ Person who carried out this activity:
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: Justin J. Birchler
    600 4th Street South
    Saint Petersburg, FL
    UNITED STATES

    727-502-8019 (voice)
    727-502-8001 (FAX)
    jbirchler@usgs.gov
    Data sources used in this process:
    • CFSR
    • NWW3
    Data sources produced in this process:
    • Hydrodynamics (SURGE, SETUP, RUNUP)
    Date: 2015 (process 3 of 4)
    Probabilities of coastal erosion hazards are based on estimating the likelihood that the beach system will experience erosion and deposition patterns consistent with collision, overwash, or inundation regimes. The regimes are calculated by using values of dune morphology and mean and extreme water levels for each 1 km section, such that probability of collision occurs when extreme water levels reach the dune toe; overwash when extreme water levels reach the dune crest; and inundation when mean water levels reach the dune crest. Probabilities were calculated in MATLAB and exported in ArcGIS format. Person who carried out this activity:
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: Justin J. Birchler
    600 4th Street South
    Saint Petersburg, FL
    UNITED STATES

    727-502-8019 (voice)
    727-502-8001 (FAX)
    jbirchler@usgs.gov
    Data sources used in this process:
    • Dune morphology
    • Hydrodynamics
    Data sources produced in this process:
    • Probabilities (PCOL, POVW, PIND)
    Date: 13-Oct-2020 (process 4 of 4)
    Added keywords section with USGS persistent identifier as theme keyword. Person who carried out this activity:
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: VeeAnn A. Cross
    Marine Geologist
    384 Woods Hole Road
    Woods Hole, MA

    508-548-8700 x2251 (voice)
    508-457-2310 (FAX)
    vatnipp@usgs.gov
  3. What similar or related data should the user be aware of?

How reliable are the data; what problems remain in the data set?

  1. How well have the observations been checked?
  2. How accurate are the geographic locations?
    Horizontal accuracy was not estimated.
  3. How accurate are the heights or depths?
    Vertical accuracy for hydrodynamic measurements (surge, setup, and runup) is dependent on input data. CFSR-modeled surge elevations were compared to six long-running NOAA tide gages in shallow water along the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast and surge elevations were assimilated based on this comparison for class 1-3 nor'easters. Modeled wave heights and wave periods were compared to observed wave heights at six long-running NOAA NDBC buoys located in shallow water along the Mid- and Northeast Atlantic coast and simulated wave heights were representative of maximum possible wave heights for each nor'easter category. No other accuracy checks were performed. Vertical accuracy for dune morphology (dune crest and toe elevation) data is dependent on the positional accuracy of the lidar data. Estimated accuracy of lidar surveys is +/- 15 centimeters. However, vertical accuracies may vary based on the type of terrain (for example, inaccuracies may increase as slope increases or with the presence of extremely dense vegetation) and the accuracy of the GPS and aircraft-attitude measurements.
  4. Where are the gaps in the data? What is missing?
    These data include dune morphology, and nor'easter hydrodynamic data used to generate probabilities of nor'easter-induced erosion. Elevation data from lidar surveys are not included. Measurements are collected approximately every 10-meters and summarized to 1-km segments.
  5. How consistent are the relationships among the observations, including topology?
    No additional checks for consistency were performed on this data.

How can someone get a copy of the data set?

Are there legal restrictions on access or use of the data?
Access_Constraints: None
Use_Constraints:
The U.S. Geological Survey requests to be acknowledged as originators of the data in future products or derivative research.
  1. Who distributes the data set? (Distributor 1 of 1)
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Attn: Justin J. Birchler
    600 4th Street South
    Saint Petersburg, FL

    727-502-8019 (voice)
    727-502-8001 (FAX)
    jbirchler@usgs.gov
    Contact_Instructions: All of this report is available on-line.
  2. What's the catalog number I need to order this data set?
  3. What legal disclaimers am I supposed to read?
    Although these data have been processed successfully on a computer system at the USGS, no warranty expressed or implied is made regarding the display or utility of the data on any other system, or for general or scientific purposes, nor shall the act of distribution constitute any such warranty. The USGS shall not be held liable for improper or incorrect use of the data described and/or contained herein. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.
  4. How can I download or order the data?

Who wrote the metadata?

Dates:
Last modified: 13-Oct-2020
Metadata author:
U.S. Geological Survey
Attn: Justin J. Birchler
600 4th Street South
Saint Petersburg, FL
UNITED STATES

727-502-8019 (voice)
727-502-8001 (FAX)
jbirchler@usgs.gov
Metadata standard:
FGDC Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata (FGDC-STD-001-1998)

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