Metadata: Identification_Information: Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Zafer Defne Originator: Kate V. Ackerman Originator: Brian D. Andrews Originator: Neil K. Ganju Publication_Date: 20250218 Title: Metrics for marsh migration under sea-level rise in Chesapeake Bay Edition: 1.0 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: Vector Digital Data Set (Polygon) Series_Information: Series_Name: data release Issue_Identification: DOI:10.5066/P18BWN2U Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Reston, Virginia Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Other_Citation_Details: Suggested citation: Defne, Z., Ackerman, K.V., Andrews, B.D., and Ganju, N.K., 2025, Chesapeake Bay marsh migration potential under sea-level rise: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P18BWN2U. Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.5066/P18BWN2U Online_Linkage: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29 Larger_Work_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Zafer Defne Originator: Kate V. Ackerman Originator: Brian D. Andrews Originator: Neil K. Ganju Publication_Date: 2025 Title: Chesapeake Bay marsh migration potential under sea-level rise Edition: 1 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: dataset Series_Information: Series_Name: data release Issue_Identification: DOI:10.5066/P18BWN2U Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Reston, VA Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Other_Citation_Details: Suggested citation: Defne, Z., Ackerman, K.V., Andrews, B.D., and Ganju, N.K., 2025, Chesapeake Bay marsh migration potential under sea-level rise: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P18BWN2U. Description: Abstract: Marsh migration potential in the Chesapeake Bay (CB) salt marshes is calculated in terms of available migration area for each marsh unit defined by Ackerman and others (2022). The space available for landward migration is based on the NOAA marsh migration predictions under 2.0 feet of local sea-level rise (SLR). The migration space is further divided by National Hydrography Dataset (NHD) Plus catchments before assigning related catchment polygons to each marsh unit. The migration rates are then calculated using present day estimates at the prescribed rate of SLR, which correspond to the 0.3, 0.5, and 1.0 meter increase in Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) scenarios by 2100 from Sweet and others (2022). Through scientific efforts, the U.S. Geological Survey has been expanding national assessment of coastal change hazards and forecast products to coastal wetlands, including the Chesapeake Bay salt marshes, with the intent of providing Federal, State, and local managers with tools to estimate the vulnerability and ecosystem service potential of these wetlands. For this purpose, the response and resilience of coastal wetlands to physical factors need to be assessed in terms of the ensuing change to their vulnerability and ecosystem services. Marsh migration is one of the natural responses to SLR. References: Ackerman, K.V., Defne, Z., and Ganju, N.K., 2022, Geospatial characterization of salt marshes in Chesapeake Bay: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P997EJYB. Sweet, W.V., Hamlington, B.D., Kopp, R.E., Weaver, C.P., Barnard, P.L., Bekaert, D., Brooks, W., Craghan, M., Dusek, G., Frederikse, T., Garner, G., Genz, A.S., Krasting, J.P., Larour, E., Marcy, D., Marra, J.J., Obeysekera, J., Osler, M., Pendleton, M., Roman, D., Schmied, L., Veatch, W., White, K.D., and Zuzak, C., 2022, Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA Technical Report NOS 01. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. Purpose: The purpose of this shapefile is to present the landward migration metrics for each marsh unit in Chesapeake Bay. Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2025 Currentness_Reference: publication date Status: Progress: Complete Maintenance_and_Update_Frequency: None Spatial_Domain: Bounding_Coordinates: West_Bounding_Coordinate: -77.3747 East_Bounding_Coordinate: -75.5934 North_Bounding_Coordinate: 39.5898 South_Bounding_Coordinate: 36.3744 Keywords: Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: ISO 19115 Topic Category Theme_Keyword: oceans Theme_Keyword: inlandWaters Theme_Keyword: environment Theme_Keyword: elevation Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: USGS Thesaurus Theme_Keyword: geospatial datasets Theme_Keyword: wetland ecosystems Theme_Keyword: wetland functions Theme_Keyword: coastal ecosystems Theme_Keyword: coastal processes Theme_Keyword: sea-level change Theme_Keyword: sediment transport Theme_Keyword: estuarine processes Theme_Keyword: vegetation Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: None Theme_Keyword: salt marsh Theme_Keyword: marsh health Theme_Keyword: lifespan Theme_Keyword: estuary Theme_Keyword: Long-Term Ecological Research Theme_Keyword: LTER Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: USGS Metadata Identifier Theme_Keyword: USGS:677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29 Place: Place_Keyword_Thesaurus: CommonGeographicAreas Place_Keyword: Atlantic Place_Keyword: United States Place_Keyword: Maryland Place_Keyword: Virginia Place_Keyword: Chesapeake Access_Constraints: None Use_Constraints: The migration potential for each marsh unit is defined for scientific research purposes and should not be used as a sole source of reference for any regulations and policy making. Public domain data from the U.S. Government are freely redistributable with proper metadata and source attribution. Please recognize the U.S. Geological Survey as the source of this information. Point_of_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: U.S. Geological Survey Contact_Person: Zafer Defne Contact_Position: Oceanographer Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: 384 Woods Hole Road City: Woods Hole State_or_Province: MA Postal_Code: 02543 Contact_Voice_Telephone: 508-548-8700 x2254 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: 508-457-2310 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: zdefne@usgs.gov Browse_Graphic: Browse_Graphic_File_Name: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29?name=mu_migration_CB.png&allowOpen=true Browse_Graphic_File_Description: Total marsh migration area for each marsh unit under 2-feet of SLR in Chesapeake Bay overlaying Esri basemap. Browse_Graphic_File_Type: PNG Native_Data_Set_Environment: Environment as of Metadata Creation: Microsoft Windows 10 Version 0.1 (Build 19042); Esri ArcGIS Pro 3.3.2 Cross_Reference: Citation_Information: Originator: Kate V. Ackerman Originator: Zafer Defne Originator: Neil K. Ganju Publication_Date: 2022 Title: Geospatial characterization of salt marshes in Chesapeake Bay Edition: 1.0 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: dataset Series_Information: Series_Name: data release Issue_Identification: DOI:10.5066/P997EJYB Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Reston, VA Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.5066/p997ejyb Cross_Reference: Citation_Information: Originator: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service Publication_Date: 2022 Title: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA Technical Report NOS 01, 111 pp. Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: publication Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Silver Spring, MD Publisher: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Online_Linkage: https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/Sea_Level_Rise_Datasets_2022.zip Online_Linkage: https://sealevel.globalchange.gov/internal_resources/756/noaa-nos-techrpt01-global-regional-SLR-scenarios-US.pdf Data_Quality_Information: Attribute_Accuracy: Attribute_Accuracy_Report: Marsh units, water and land boundaries inherit their accuracy from accuracy of the source data, Chesapeake Bay marsh units. Landward migration boundaries inherit accuracy from the source data; USGS National Hydrography Dataset (NHD) Plus Catchment and NOAA Office for Coastal Management Marsh Migration raster datasets. These boundaries are used in calculation of area available for migration. Migration rates are calculated based on the local estimated sea-level rise by 2100 given by the NOAA technical report (Sweet and others, 2022). Logical_Consistency_Report: Migration potential is zero for a marsh unit that is not connected to any migration area. Completeness_Report: The results are specific to the marsh polygons definition within the boundaries of the Chesapeake Bay salt marsh complex. A detailed on-the-ground analysis of a single site may result in a different interpretation of the wetland and marsh unit boundaries. Positional_Accuracy: Horizontal_Positional_Accuracy: Horizontal_Positional_Accuracy_Report: Horizontal accuracy is inherited from the source datasets; the marsh units, and the boundaries of marsh migration inherit from the NOAA migration raster datasets. Vertical_Positional_Accuracy: Vertical_Positional_Accuracy_Report: Dataset has no vertical values. Lineage: Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Publication_Date: 201907 Title: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Marsh Migration Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: raster digital data Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Charleston, SC Publisher: NOAA's Ocean Service, Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/data/slr-wetland.html Type_of_Source_Media: Digital Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2016 Source_Currentness_Reference: ground condition Source_Citation_Abbreviation: md_marshmigration_2016.zip Source_Contribution: Marsh migration inland boundary under sea-level rise Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Publication_Date: 201907 Title: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Marsh Migration Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: raster digital data Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Charleston, SC Publisher: NOAA's Ocean Service, Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/data/slr-wetland.html Type_of_Source_Media: Digital Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2016 Source_Currentness_Reference: ground condition Source_Citation_Abbreviation: va_marshmigration_2016.zip Source_Contribution: Marsh migration inland boundary under sea-level rise Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Department of Commerce (DOC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Ocean Service (NOS), Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Publication_Date: 201907 Title: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Marsh Migration Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: raster digital data Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Charleston, SC Publisher: NOAA's Ocean Service, Office for Coastal Management (OCM) Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/slr Online_Linkage: https://coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/data/slr-wetland.html Type_of_Source_Media: Digital Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2016 Source_Currentness_Reference: ground condition Source_Citation_Abbreviation: nc_marshmigration_2016.zip Source_Contribution: Marsh migration inland boundary under sea-level rise Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service Publication_Date: 2022 Title: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA Technical Report NOS 01, 111 pp. Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: dataset Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Silver Spring, MD Publisher: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Online_Linkage: https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/Sea_Level_Rise_Datasets_2022.zip Online_Linkage: https://sealevel.globalchange.gov/internal_resources/756/noaa-nos-techrpt01-global-regional-SLR-scenarios-US.pdf Type_of_Source_Media: Digital Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2022 Source_Currentness_Reference: ground condition Source_Citation_Abbreviation: SLR data Source_Contribution: Sea-level rise projections for 2100 for selected scenarios Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Kate Ackerman Originator: Zafer Defne Originator: Neil Kamal Ganju Publication_Date: 2022 Title: Geospatial characterization of salt marshes in Chesapeake Bay Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: dataset Series_Information: Series_Name: data release Issue_Identification: DOI:10.5066/P997EJYB Publication_Information: Publication_Place: https://www.sciencebase.gov Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.5066/p997ejyb Online_Linkage: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/630f9ba4d34e36012efa0924 Type_of_Source_Media: Digital and/or Hardcopy Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 2022 Source_Currentness_Reference: publication date Source_Citation_Abbreviation: mu_UVVR_CB.shp Source_Contribution: Marsh units outlines Source_Information: Source_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: U.S. Geological Survey Publication_Date: 20220324 Title: National Hydrography Dataset (NHD) Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: vector digital data Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Reston, Virginia Publisher: U.S. Geological Survey Online_Linkage: https://www.usgs.gov/core-science-systems/ngp/national-hydrography Type_of_Source_Media: Digital and/or Hardcopy Source_Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Single_Date/Time: Calendar_Date: 20220324 Source_Currentness_Reference: publication date Source_Citation_Abbreviation: NHDPlusCatchment Source_Contribution: NHD Plus Catchment polygons Process_Step: Process_Description: This process step and subsequent process steps were performed by the same person, Zafer Defne, in ArcGIS Pro (ver.3.3.2) unless otherwise stated. For complex operations, names of specific tools used are given in CAPITAL letters (any critical parameters used are given in parentheses, separated by a semicolon, immediately after the tool name). The input and output file names are provided in [square brackets] when necessary. Units for length and area calculations are meters (m) and square meters (m2) unless otherwise stated. This processing step defines the extent of migration area. a) Download the NOAA Sea level rise wetland impacts and migration datasets for the Chesapeake Bay domain [md_marshmigration_2016.zip, va_marshmigration_2016.zip, nc_marshmigration_2016.zip]. These datasets present the potential distribution of each wetland type based on their elevation and frequency of inundation under different SLR rates. Use four scenarios: 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0 feet of SLR as input. b) From each scenario select classes of Palustrine Emergent Wetland (15), Brackish/Transition Wetland (17), Estuarine Wetland (18) by EXTRACT_BY_ATTRIBUTES(VALUE = 15 Or VALUE = 17 Or VALUE = 18). c) Mosaic all four rasters from previous step into to a new raster for Maryland (MD) while setting the coordinate system to NAD1983 (2011) UTM Zone 18N. MOSAIC_TO_NEW_RASTER(Pixel Type="1bit"; Spatial Reference=NAD_1983_2011_UTM_Zone_18N; Mosaic Operator="Maximum"). Export only the values greater than 1 as a new raster and convert to polygon. RASTER_TO_POLYGON(Field = "VALUE"). Repeat the same steps for Virginia (VA) and North Carolina (NC) domains. And merge the results in to a single feature dataset [mm_MD_VA_NC_merge_UTM18_2011.shp]. Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: md_marshmigration_2016.zip Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: va_marshmigration_2016.zip Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: nc_marshmigration_2016.zip Process_Date: 2024 Source_Produced_Citation_Abbreviation: mm_MD_VA_NC_merge_UTM18_2011.shp Process_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: U.S. Geological Survey Contact_Person: Zafer Defne Contact_Position: Oceanographer Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: 384 Woods Hole Road City: Woods Hole State_or_Province: MA Postal_Code: 02543 Contact_Voice_Telephone: 508-548-8700 x2254 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: 508-457-2310 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: zdefne@usgs.gov Process_Step: Process_Description: This processing step delineates the migration area based on the USGS National Hydrography Dataset Plus High Resolution (NHD Plus HR) catchments map. First, the catchments intersecting the marsh units are selected as immediate catchments. Then, if the inland boundary of the migration layer spans across multiple catchments, those catchments are merged to the immediate catchments by proximity. Catchments areas beyond the inland boundary of migration layer are clipped to the boundary. The resulting product is the marsh migration polygons which is the migration zone delineated with catchments. a) Download Chesapeake Bay marsh units dataset [mu_UVVR_CB.shp] and NHD Plus HR catchments datasets for the domain. [mu_UVVR_CB.shp]; NHDPlusCatchment feature datasets [NHDPlusCatchment_0206.shp], [NHDPlusCatchment_0207.shp], [NHDPlusCatchment_0208.shp] and [NHDPlusCatchment_0301.shp]. b) Project all source feature datasets to the same coordinate system with the previous processing step, NAD1983 (2011) UTM Zone 18N. Resulting projected data sets are: Marsh units [mu_UVVR_CB_UTM18_2011.shp]; NHDPlusCatchment feature datasets [NHDPlusCatchment_0206_UTM18_2011.shp], [NHDPlusCatchment_0207_UTM18_2011.shp], [NHDPlusCatchment_0208_UTM18_2011.shp] and [NHDPlusCatchment_0301_UTM18_2011.shp] c) Merge all catchment feature datasets to create the total catchment area [HDPlusCatchment_merge_0206_0207_0208_0301.shp]. d) Select parts of migration area that intersect with marsh units. SELECT_LAYER_BY_LOCATION(Input features=mm_MD_VA_NC_merge_UTM18_2011.shp; Selecting features=mu_UVVR_CB_UTM18_2011.shp; Relationship=Intersect; Search distance =1 meter). Export features as [mmp_by_mu.shp]. e) SELECT_LAYER_BY_LOCATION(Input features=HDPlusCatchment_merge_0206_0207_0208_0301.shp; Selecting features= mmp_by_mu.shp, Relationship=Intersect). Export features as [cathments_selected.shp]. f) Intersect the two feature datasets to identify the immediate catchment polygons. PAIRWISE_INTERSECT(Input features=catchments_selected.shp, mmp_by_mu.shp ). Export features as [mmp_iniside_cat.shp]. g) Remove the immediate catchments from the overall marsh migration area so that the catchments in the migration area but beyond the immediate ones can be processed. PAIRWISE_ERASE(Input features=mm_MD_VA_NC_merge_UTM18_2011.shp; Erase features=mmp_inside_cat.shp; Output=mm_outside_cat.shp). MULTIPART_TO_SINGLEPART(Input features=mm_outside_cat.shp; Output features=mm_outside_cat_single.shp) and SELECT_LAYER_BY_LOCATION(Input features=mm_outside_cat_single.shp; Selecting features=mu_UVVR_CB_UTM18_2011.shp; Relationship=Intersect; Search distance =1 meter). Export features as [mmp_outside_cat.shp]. h) Union the immediate catchments with the remote catchments to create a union set of catchments. UNION(Input features=mmp_iniside_cat.shp, mmp_outside_cat.shp; Gaps allowed=Yes, Output features=mmp_all.shp). i) Prepare and split the union of catchments to immediate catchments and remote catchments so that the remote catchments can be merged by proximity. Specifically, ERASE marsh units from the union of catchments and MULTIPART_TO_SINGLEPART to obtain [mmp_all_single.shp]. Create two feature datasets from this dataset: For immediate catchments SELECT_LAYER_BY_LOCATION(Input features=mmp_all_single.shp; Selecting features=mu_UVVR_CB_UTM18_2011.shp; Relationship=Intersect; Search distance=0.001 meter) and export as [input_mmu.shp]. For remote catchments SELECT_LAYER_BY_LOCATION(Input features=mmp_all_single.shp; Selecting features=mu_UVVR_CB_UTM18_2011.shp; Relationship=Intersect; Search distance=0.001 meter, Invert Spatial Relationship=Yes) and export as [near_mmu.shp]. j) Run the HYDUNITLOOP tool to merge catchments. At each iteration step, the script uses NEAR tool to find remote catchments from the [input_mmu.shp] within 1 meter of an immediate catchment [near_mmu.shp] and merges them to it using UNION and DISSOLVE tools. The catchments merged with an immediate catchment are removed from the remote catchments dataset. The script iterates until there is no change in the number of remote and immediate units. The remaining catchments are those that are more than 1 meter away from any immediate ones and they are discarded. The resulting final dataset is [final_mmu.shp]. HYDUNITLOOP(Input features=input_mmu.shp; Near features=near_mmu.shp; Output features=final_mmu.shp]. k) Because of the resolution difference between the datasets, processing sometimes creates sliver polygons around the edges. To clean up the final output, remove detached marsh migration polygons with area smaller than a threshold value. Specifically, first PAIRWISE_DISSOLVE(Input features=final_mmu.shp; Output feature class=final_mmu_diss.shp) and CALCULATE_GEOMETRY_ATTRIBUTES(Input features=final_mmu_diss.shp; Geometry attributes field=ASQM; Property=Area (geodesic); Area unit=Square meters; Coordinate system=NAD_1983_2011_Contiguous_USA_Albers). Then, select polygons with areas greater than 300 square meter to export [fmmu_gt_300.shp] and use them to select from [final_mmu.shp] dataset by SELECT_BY_LOCATION(Input feature=final_mmu.shp; Relationship=Within; Selecting features=fmmu_gt_300.shp; Search distance=0 meters). Finally, export the selected features as [marsh_migration_polygons.shp]. Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: mm_MD_VA_NC_merge_UTM18_2011.shp Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: mu_UVVR_CB.shp Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: NHDPlusCatchment Process_Date: 2024 Source_Produced_Citation_Abbreviation: marsh_migration_polygons.shp Process_Step: Process_Description: Calculate total marsh migration area, ratio of total migration area to marsh unit area and migration rate. Total migration area for a marsh unit is calculated as the sum of all catchment areas within in the migration zone that the marsh unit borders, where catchments are clipped to the SLR extent landward. If same migration area is bounded by multiple marsh units then the marsh area proportioned by the length of the shared boundary between the migration area and each unit. Marsh migration rate for each unit is defined as the migration area covered per year by that marsh unit under a SLR scenario. Similar to total area calculation, if same migration area is shared by multiple marsh units a migration rate is calculated per each migration area proportional to the shared boundary. However, if multiple catchments are within the total marsh migration area, the maximum of the migration rates is assigned as the final migration rate. a) First, calculate the migration rate in in terms of area per time by dividing the migration area for each unit by the time it takes for a SLR of 2 feet. This step is done in MATLAB (version 2021b). For sea-level rise projections Sweet and others (2022) SLR data within the region were used. A total of 40 points including 20 stations and 20 grid points were within the bounding box with lower left corner of (-78.0000N, 35.7950W) and upper right corner of (-74.9600N, 40.0000W). SLR rate is calculated as SLR_RATE=(RSL2100+RSL_OFFSET)/100-RSL_VLM, where RSL2100 is the relative sea level by 2100 under a global mean sea level rise scenario, RSL_OFFSET is the offset to initiate the projection at year 2000, and RSL_VLM is the relative sea level contribution from vertical land motion. Interpolate the SLR_RATE from 40 points over a regular grid using GRIDDATA function with natural neighbor interpolation (grid size of 30 longitudinal by 42 latitudinal points). Assign to each marsh migration polygon the interpolated SLR_RATE value from the nearest grid point. For each polygon, calculate the time it takes for a SLR of 2 feet by dividing the migration area by the SLR_RATE. Do this for the three scenarios considered: GMSL rise of 0.3 meters, 0.5 meters and 1.0 meters by year 2100. Join these values to the marsh migration polygons table as YRS03, YRS05, YRS10, respectively. Sweet, W.V., Hamlington, B.D., Kopp, R.E., Weaver, C.P., Barnard, P.L., Bekaert, D., Brooks, W., Craghan, M., Dusek, G., Frederikse, T., Garner, G., Genz, A.S., Krasting, J.P., Larour, E., Marcy, D., Marra, J.J., Obeysekera, J., Osler, M., Pendleton, M., Roman, D., Schmied, L., Veatch, W., White, K.D., and Zuzak, C., 2022, Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA Technical Report NOS 01. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. b) Next, add a new field to marsh migration polygons dataset to transfer their FID info to the shared boundary segments. CALCULATE_FIELD(Input table=marsh_migration_polgons.shp; Field name=FID_MM; Field Type=Long; Expression="FID_MM=!FID!"). Then intersect the marsh units and the marsh polygons to calculate the length of each shared boundary. INTERSECT(Input features=mu_UVVR_CB.shp, marsh_migration_polygons.shp; Output feature=MM_MU_boundary.shp; Output type=Line). Calculate the length of each boundary segment with CALCULATE_GEOMETRY_ATTRIBUTES(Input features=MM_MU_boundary.shp; Geometry attributes field=M_L; Property=Length(geodesic); Length units=Meters; Coordinate system=NAD_1983_2011_UTM_Zone_18N). c) Delete field FID_MM from marsh migration polygons and spatial join with the shared boundary dataset to create marsh polygons with boundary segment lengths. SPATIAL_JOIN(Target features=marsh_migration_polygons.shp; Join features=MM_MU_boundary.shp; Output feature class=MM_MU_boundary_len.shp; Join operation=One to many; Match option=Intersect; Fields=FID_MM,FID_CMU,M_L,YRS03,YRS05,YRS10). SELECT(Input features=MM_MU_boundary_len.shp; Output feature class=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Where=TARGET_FID is equal to FID_MM). d) Calculate marsh migration area associated with each boundary segment by CALCULATE_GEOMETRY_ATTRIBUTES(Input features=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Geometry attributes field=MM_A; Property=Area (geodesic); Area unit=Square meters; Coordinate system=NAD_1983_2011_Contiguous_USA_Albers) and SUMMARY_STATISTICS(Input table=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Output table=M_L_sum_by_MM.dbf; Statistics field property=M_L; Statistics type=Sum; Case field=TARGET_FID) and JOIN_FIELD(Input table=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Input field=TARGET_FID; Join table=M_L_sum_by_MM.dbf; Join field=TARGET_FID; Transfer method=Use field mapping; Field map=TARGET_FID, SUM_M_L; Index join fields=Do not add indexes). e) Calculate potential marsh migration area associated with each marsh unit by CALCULATE_FIELD(Input table=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Field name=PMA; Expression="!M_L! / !SUM_M_L! * !MM_A!") and then PAIRWISE_DISSOLVE(Input features=MM_MU_boundary_len_Select.shp; Output feature class=MM_MU_boundary_area_summary.shp; Dissolve fields=FID_CMU; Statistics fields=PMA; Statistics type=Sum; Create multipart features=Yes). f) Finally, create the marsh migration dataset by joining the migration summary dataset to the UVVR dataset. Also calculate a ratio of migration area to marsh unit are at this step. JOIN_FIELD(Input table=mu_UVVR_CB.shp; Input field=FID_CMU; Join table=MM_MU_boundary_area_summary.shp; Join field=FID_CMU; Transfer method=Use field mapping; FieldMap:AMIG_M2,MIGR03,MIGR05,MIGR10). CALCULATE_FIELD(Input table=mu_UVVR_CB.shp; Field name=AMIGRAT; Expression="!AMIG_M2!/!ATOT_M2!"). Keep only FID_CMU, ATOT_M2, AVEG_M2, AMIG_M2, FLG fields and the transferred fields, and export features as mu_migration_CB.shp. Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: marsh_migration_polygons.shp Source_Used_Citation_Abbreviation: mu_UVVR_CB.shp Process_Date: 2024 Source_Produced_Citation_Abbreviation: mu_migration_CB.shp Spatial_Data_Organization_Information: Direct_Spatial_Reference_Method: Vector Point_and_Vector_Object_Information: SDTS_Terms_Description: SDTS_Point_and_Vector_Object_Type: G-polygon Point_and_Vector_Object_Count: 46457 Spatial_Reference_Information: Horizontal_Coordinate_System_Definition: Planar: Map_Projection: Map_Projection_Name: WGS 1984 Web Mercator Auxiliary Sphere (ESRI Full Name: WGS_1984_Web_Mercator_Auxiliary_Sphere) Mercator: Standard_Parallel: 0.0 Longitude_of_Central_Meridian: 0.0 False_Easting: 0.0 False_Northing: 0.0 Planar_Coordinate_Information: Planar_Coordinate_Encoding_Method: coordinate pair Coordinate_Representation: Abscissa_Resolution: 0.6096 Ordinate_Resolution: 0.6096 Planar_Distance_Units: meters Geodetic_Model: Horizontal_Datum_Name: D_WGS_1984 Ellipsoid_Name: WGS_1984 Semi-major_Axis: 6378137.0 Denominator_of_Flattening_Ratio: 298.257223563 Entity_and_Attribute_Information: Detailed_Description: Entity_Type: Entity_Type_Label: mu_migration_CB.shp Attribute Table Entity_Type_Definition: Table containing attribute information associated with the data set. Entity_Type_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute: Attribute_Label: FID Attribute_Definition: Internal feature number. Attribute_Definition_Source: ESRI Attribute_Domain_Values: Unrepresentable_Domain: Sequential unique whole numbers that are automatically generated. Attribute: Attribute_Label: Shape Attribute_Definition: Feature geometry. Attribute_Definition_Source: ESRI Attribute_Domain_Values: Unrepresentable_Domain: Coordinates defining the features. Attribute: Attribute_Label: FID_CMU Attribute_Definition: Sequential unique whole number that represents the identification number for each conceptual marsh unit. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 1 Range_Domain_Maximum: 46457 Attribute: Attribute_Label: ATOT_M2 Attribute_Definition: Total surface area of a marsh unit in square meters. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 12.9601064167 Range_Domain_Maximum: 3202425.38166 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter Attribute: Attribute_Label: AVEG_M2 Attribute_Definition: Surface area of vegetated part of a marsh unit in square meters. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 2877935.91808 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter Attribute: Attribute_Label: AMIG_M2 Attribute_Definition: Total migration area for a marsh unit in square meters. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 22123102.5416 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter Attribute: Attribute_Label: AMIGRAT Attribute_Definition: Ratio of the total migration area to the marsh unit area for a marsh unit. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 841.04 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: None Attribute: Attribute_Label: MIGR03 Attribute_Definition: Migration rate for a marsh unit (in square meters per year) for a global mean sea level rise of 0.3 meters by 2100. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 144273.0 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter per year Attribute: Attribute_Label: MIGR05 Attribute_Definition: Migration rate for a marsh unit (in square meters per year) for a global mean sea level rise of 0.5 meters by 2100. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 208442.0 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter per year Attribute: Attribute_Label: MIGR10 Attribute_Definition: Migration rate for a marsh unit (in square meters per year) for a global mean sea level rise of 1.0 meters by 2100. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: 0.0 Range_Domain_Maximum: 369281.0 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: square meter per year Attribute: Attribute_Label: FLG Attribute_Definition: Marsh unit flag indicating anomalous marsh units based on absence of vegetation, elevation, surface area and tidal range extrapolation. FLG values indicate: (-1) no vegetated area in the marsh unit; (-10) marsh unit elevation higher than the 99.8 percentile; (-100) marsh unit elevation less than the 0.2 percentile; (-200) greater than 25 percent of the marsh unit elevation is hydro-flattened; (-1000) marsh unit surface area less than 900 m^2; (-10000) mean tidal range of marsh unit is extrapolated; and (0) no flag. Combination of negative values indicates a combination of flags. For example, -1001 indicates no vegetated area and area less than 900 m^2. Attribute_Definition_Source: USGS Attribute_Domain_Values: Range_Domain: Range_Domain_Minimum: -11201 Range_Domain_Maximum: 0 Attribute_Units_of_Measure: None Overview_Description: Entity_and_Attribute_Overview: In this dataset, marsh migration area under 2 feet of SLR are computed for each conceptual salt marsh unit in Chesapeake Bay. Additionally, the ratio of migration area to marsh unit area is calculated. Finally, migration rates (area per year) under different SLR scenarios (GMSL 0.3, 0.5 and 1.0) by 2100 are calculated. Decimal values in the attribute table are a result of double precision and they should not be taken as significant digits. Significant digits for are and migration rate are assumed to be 1 square meter and 1 square meter per year, respectively. Entity_and_Attribute_Detail_Citation: USGS Distribution_Information: Distributor: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: U.S. Geological Survey - ScienceBase Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: Denver Federal Center, Building 810, Mail Stop 302 City: Denver State_or_Province: CO Postal_Code: 80225 Contact_Voice_Telephone: 1-888-275-8747 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: sciencebase@usgs.gov Resource_Description: The dataset contains polygon marsh units with migration data (mu_migration_CB.shp and other shapefile components) browse graphic, and the FGDC CSDGM metadata in .xml format. Distribution_Liability: Unless otherwise stated, all data, metadata and related materials are considered to satisfy the quality standards relative to the purpose for which the data were collected. Although these data and associated metadata have been reviewed for accuracy and completeness and approved for release by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), no warranty expressed or implied is made regarding the display or utility of the data for other purposes, nor on all computer systems, nor shall the act of distribution constitute any such warranty. Standard_Order_Process: Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: Shapefile Format_Version_Number: ArcGIS Pro 3.3.2 Format_Information_Content: This zipped file contains a polygon shapefile and its components, a style layer descriptor file, metadata in xml format and a browse image. Transfer_Size: 220 Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29 Network_Resource_Name: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29 Network_Resource_Name: https://doi.org/10.5066/P18BWN2U Access_Instructions: The first link in network resources is to download data directly. The second link points to a landing page with metadata and data where files can be downloaded individually. The third link is to the main landing page of the data release. Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: WMS Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalogMaps/mapping/ows/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29?service=wms&request=getcapabilities&version=1.3.0 Access_Instructions: The link in network resources points to the Web Mapping Services (WMS) end point. Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: WFS Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalogMaps/mapping/ows/677d4d5dd34e480c9507fa29?service=wfs&request=getcapabilities&version=1.0.0 Access_Instructions: The link in network resources points to the Web Feature Service (WFS) end point. Fees: None. No fees are applicable for obtaining the data set. Metadata_Reference_Information: Metadata_Date: 20250218 Metadata_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: U.S. Geological Survey Contact_Person: Zafer Defne Contact_Position: Oceanographer Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: 384 Woods Hole Road City: Woods Hole State_or_Province: MA Postal_Code: 02543 Contact_Voice_Telephone: 508-548-8700 x2254 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: 508-457-2310 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: whsc_data_contact@usgs.gov Contact_Instructions: The metadata contact email address is a generic address in the event the person is no longer with USGS. Metadata_Standard_Name: FGDC Content Standard for Digital Geospatial Metadata Metadata_Standard_Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998