Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS)


Summary

The Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) makes detailed predictions (meter-scale) over large geographic scales (100s of kilometers) of storm-induced coastal flooding and erosion for both current conditions and long-term future hazard scenarios, and in many locations, there are additional products for long-term shoreline change, cliff retreat, and groundwater hazards.  Resulting projections for future scenarios (storms and sea-level change) provide emergency responders and coastal planners with critical storm-hazards information that can be used to increase public safety and mitigate physical damages to reduce risk, and more effectively manage and allocate resources to increase resilience in response to storm hazards within complex coastal settings.

CoSMoS has been implemented for the California coast, the U.S. Southeast Atlantic, populated U.S. Pacific Islands, and other locations; see the attached implementation map for details.

Data for the various CoSMoS implementations and supporting investigations are available for download either on this site (CMGDS) or the USGS data repository on ScienceBase. Additional platforms for visualizing the data and analyses include the Our Coast, Our Future website (OCOF, ourcoastourfuture.org, for California only), the USGS Hazard Exposure and Reporting Analytics Tool (HERA, https://www.usgs.gov/apps/hera/), and the USGS Multi-hazard Viewer (https://www.usgs.gov/apps/hera/multiHazardsTool.php).  See links below and associated items for details.

Alaska Data

CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Golovin- Coastal Alaska

CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Unalakleet - Coastal Alaska

CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Utqiaġvik - Coastal Alaska

CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Elim - Coastal Alaska

Atlantic Coast Data

Future coastal hazards along the U.S. Atlantic coast

Future coastal hazards along the U.S. North and South Carolina coasts

California Data

Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Northern California 3.2 (ver. 1h, December 2025)

Projections of shoreline change for California due to 21st century sea-level rise

Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Central California, v3.1

Projected responses of the coastal water table for California using present-day and future sea-level rise scenarios

Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Southern California, v3.0, Phase 2

Near-surface wind fields for San Francisco Bay--historical and 21st-century projected time series

Nearshore waves in southern California: hindcast, and modeled historical and 21st-century projected time series

Hawaiian, Mariana, and American Samoan Islands Data

Projected coastal flooding extents and depths for 1-, 20-, and 100-year return interval storms and 0.00, +0.25, +0.50, +1.00, +1.50, +2.00, and +3.00 meter sea-level rise scenarios in the Hawaiian, Mariana, and American Samoan Islands (ver. 2.1, February 2025)

Washington State Data

Washington data release hub: https://cmgds.marine.usgs.gov/data-releases/community/Cosmos_SalishSea/

CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for King County, Washington

CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for Pierce County, Washington

Future coastal groundwater hazards in the Puget Sound region, Washington, U.S.A.

Coastal hazards assessment associated with sea level rise and storms along the Whatcom County, Northwest Washington State coast

Purpose

These data are intended for policy makers, resource managers, science researchers, students, and the general public. These data can be used with geographic information systems or other software to identify and assess possible areas of vulnerability. These data are not intended to be used for navigation. This work is part of on-going modeling efforts. For more information on CoSMoS implementation, see https://www.usgs.gov/centers/pcmsc/science/coastal-storm-modeling-system-cosmos.

Rights

Inundated areas shown should not be used for navigation, regulatory, permitting, or other legal purposes. The U.S. Geological Survey provides these data as is for a quick reference, emergency planning tool but assumes no legal liability or responsibility resulting from the use of this information. The suggestions and illustrations included in these data are intended to improve coastal-flood awareness and preparedness; however, they do not guarantee the safety of an individual or structure. The contributors and sponsors of this product do not assume liability for any injury, death, property damage, or other effects of coastal flooding.