Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS)
Summary
The Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) makes detailed predictions (meter-scale) over large geographic scales (100s of kilometers) of storm-induced coastal flooding and erosion for both current conditions and long-term future hazard scenarios, and in many locations, there are additional products for long-term shoreline change, cliff retreat, and groundwater hazards. Resulting projections for future scenarios (storms and sea-level change) provide emergency responders and coastal planners with critical storm-hazards information that can be used to increase public safety and mitigate physical damages to reduce risk, and more effectively manage and allocate resources to increase resilience in response to storm hazards within complex coastal settings.
CoSMoS has been implemented for the California coast, the U.S. Southeast Atlantic, populated U.S. Pacific Islands, and other locations; see the attached implementation map for details.
Data for the various CoSMoS implementations and supporting investigations are available for download either on this site (CMGDS) or the USGS data repository on ScienceBase. Additional platforms for visualizing the data and analyses include the Our Coast, Our Future website (OCOF, ourcoastourfuture.org, for California only), the USGS Hazard Exposure and Reporting Analytics Tool (HERA, https://www.usgs.gov/apps/hera/), and the USGS Multi-hazard Viewer (https://www.usgs.gov/apps/hera/multiHazardsTool.php). See links below and associated items for details.
Alaska Data
CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Golovin- Coastal Alaska
CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Unalakleet - Coastal Alaska
CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Utqiaġvik - Coastal Alaska
CoSMoS-AK Modeled flood and erosion hazards at Elim - Coastal Alaska
Atlantic Coast Data
Future coastal hazards along the U.S. Atlantic coast
Future coastal hazards along the U.S. North and South Carolina coasts
California Data
Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Northern California 3.2 (ver. 1h, December 2025)
Projections of shoreline change for California due to 21st century sea-level rise
Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Central California, v3.1
Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for Southern California, v3.0, Phase 2
Near-surface wind fields for San Francisco Bay--historical and 21st-century projected time series
Hawaiian, Mariana, and American Samoan Islands Data
Washington State Data
Washington data release hub: https://cmgds.marine.usgs.gov/data-releases/community/Cosmos_SalishSea/
CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for King County, Washington
CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for Pierce County, Washington
Future coastal groundwater hazards in the Puget Sound region, Washington, U.S.A.
Purpose
These data are intended for policy makers, resource managers, science researchers, students, and the general public. These data can be used with geographic information systems or other software to identify and assess possible areas of vulnerability. These data are not intended to be used for navigation. This work is part of on-going modeling efforts. For more information on CoSMoS implementation, see https://www.usgs.gov/centers/pcmsc/science/coastal-storm-modeling-system-cosmos.
Rights
Inundated areas shown should not be used for navigation, regulatory, permitting, or other legal purposes. The U.S. Geological Survey provides these data as is for a quick reference, emergency planning tool but assumes no legal liability or responsibility resulting from the use of this information. The suggestions and illustrations included in these data are intended to improve coastal-flood awareness and preparedness; however, they do not guarantee the safety of an individual or structure. The contributors and sponsors of this product do not assume liability for any injury, death, property damage, or other effects of coastal flooding.
Overview Images
Contacts
Related Resources
Coastal Storm Modeling System information
CoSMoS Salish Sea Community page
Hazard Exposure Reporting and Analytics (HERA)