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Projections of shoreline change of current and future (2005-2100) sea-level rise scenarios for the U.S. Atlantic Coast
This dataset contains projections of shoreline change and uncertainty bands for future scenarios of sea-level rise (SLR). Scenarios include 25, 50, 75, 100, 150, 200, and 300 centimeters (cm) of SLR by the year 2100. Output for SLR of 0 cm is also included, reflective of conditions in 2005, in accordance with recent SLR projections and guidance from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA; see process steps).Projections were made using the Coastal Storm Modeling System - Coastal One-line ... |
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Projections of shoreline change for California due to 21st century sea-level rise
This dataset contains projections of shoreline change and uncertainty bands across California for future scenarios of sea-level rise (SLR). Projections were made using the Coastal Storm Modeling System - Coastal One-line Assimilated Simulation Tool (CoSMoS-COAST), a numerical model run in an ensemble forced with global-to-local nested wave models and assimilated with satellite-derived shoreline (SDS) observations across the state. Scenarios include 25, 50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200, 250, 300 and 500 ... |
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2D XBeach model input files – Golovin, Alaska
The data sets provided here consist of 2D XBeach model files and sample input files used for Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) simulations of flood and erosion hazards in Golovin, Alaska. The models produce outputs for a suite of hazard products (see products in this release), such as flood depths, flood extents, and erosion and sedimentation. In this release, example forcing files for conditions with a 100-year return period coastal storm and a sea level rise of 0.5 m are provided, in addition to all ... |
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Erosion and sedimentation projections at Golovin, Alaska
Erosion and sedimentation maps resulting from compound coastal hazards —specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms-are provided for Golovin, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and velocity hazards; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 ... |
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Flood depth projections at Golovin, Alaska
Flood depths from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Golovin, Alaska. The flood depth products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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Flood extent and uncertainty projections at Golovin, Alaska
Flood extents, as well as the upper and lower uncertainty bounds of flood extents, from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Golovin, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood depths and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as shapefiles for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR ... |
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Velocity hazard projections at Golovin, Alaska
Velocity hazards (maximum depth times velocity) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Golovin, Alaska. Velocity hazards are a measure of the velocity severity. Categories range from 0 (low hazard) to 4 (extreme hazard) following guidance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (2020). These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), ... |
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Water elevation projections at Golovin, Alaska
Water elevations from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Golovin, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters combined ... |
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Wave hazard projections at Golovin, Alaska
Wave hazards (wave heights) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Golovin, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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2D XBeach model input files – Elim, Alaska
The data sets provided here consist of 2D XBeach model files and sample input files used for Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) simulations of flood and erosion hazards in Elim, Alaska. The models produce outputs for a suite of hazard products (see products in this release), such as flood depths, flood extents, and erosion and sedimentation. In this release, example forcing files for conditions with a 100-year return period coastal storm and a sea level rise of 0.5 m are provided, in addition to all ... |
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Erosion and sedimentation projections at Elim, Alaska
Erosion and sedimentation maps resulting from compound coastal hazards —specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms-are provided for Elim, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and velocity hazards; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 ... |
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Flood depth projections at Elim, Alaska
Flood depths from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Elim, Alaska. These projections focus on areas landward of the present-day shoreline. The flood depth products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTiffs) for 36 storm and SLR ... |
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Flood extent and uncertainty projections at Elim, Alaska
Flood extents, as well as the upper and lower uncertainty bounds of flood extents, from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Elim, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood depths and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as shapefiles for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios ... |
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Velocity hazard projections at Elim, Alaska
Velocity hazards (maximum depth times velocity) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Elim, Alaska. Velocity hazards are a measure of the velocity severity. Categories range from 0 (low hazard) to 4 (extreme hazard) following guidance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (2020). These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), ... |
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Water elevation projections at Elim, Alaska
Water elevations from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Elim, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters combined with 1 ... |
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Wave hazard projections at Elim, Alaska
Wave hazards (wave heights) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Elim, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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2D XBeach model input files – Utqiagvik, Alaska
The data sets provided here consist of 2D XBeach model files and sample input files used for Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) simulations of flood and erosion hazards in Utqiagvik, Alaska. The models produce outputs for a suite of hazard products (see products in this release), such as flood depths, flood extents, and erosion and sedimentation. In this release, example forcing files for conditions with a 100-year return period coastal storm and a sea level rise of 0.5 m are provided, in addition to ... |
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Erosion and sedimentation projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Erosion and sedimentation maps resulting from compound coastal hazards —specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms-are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and velocity hazards; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3 ... |
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Flood depth projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Flood depths from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. The flood depth products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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Flood extent and uncertainty projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Flood extents, as well as the upper and lower uncertainty bounds of flood extents, from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood depths and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as shapefiles for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR ... |
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Velocity hazard projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Velocity hazards (maximum depth times velocity) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. Velocity hazards are a measure of the velocity severity. Categories range from 0 (low hazard) to 4 (extreme hazard) following guidance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (2020). These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), ... |
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Water elevation projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Water elevations from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters combined ... |
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Wave hazard projections at Utqiagvik, Alaska
Wave hazards (wave heights) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Utqiagvik, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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2D XBeach model input files – Unalakleet, Alaska
The data sets provided here consist of 2D XBeach model files and sample input files used for Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) simulations of flood and erosion hazards in Unalakleet, Alaska. The models produce outputs for a suite of hazard products (see products in this release), such as flood depths, flood extents, and erosion and sedimentation. In this release, example forcing files for conditions with a 100-year return period coastal storm and a sea level rise of 0.5 m are provided, in addition to ... |
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Erosion and sedimentation projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Erosion and sedimentation maps resulting from compound coastal hazards —specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms-are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and velocity hazards; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3 ... |
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Flood depth projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Flood depths from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. The flood depth products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters ... |
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Flood extent and uncertainty projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Flood extents, as well as the upper and lower uncertainty bounds of flood extents, from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood depths and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as shapefiles for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR ... |
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Velocity hazard projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Velocity hazards (maximum depth times velocity) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. Velocity hazards are a measure of the velocity severity. Categories range from 0 (low hazard) to 4 (extreme hazard) following guidance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (2020). These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), ... |
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Water elevation projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Water elevations from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 36 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 meters combined ... |
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Wave hazard projections at Unalakleet, Alaska
Wave hazards (wave heights) from compound coastal hazards—specifically sea-level rise (SLR) and projected coastal storms—are provided for Unalakleet, Alaska. These products are consistent with other data in this release (for example, flood extent and event-driven erosion; Erikson and others, 2025), supporting integrated coastal hazard assessments for Alaskan communities. The data are provided as gridded maps (GeoTIFFs) for 30 storm and SLR combinations (SLR scenarios 0, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0 ... |
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Projected groundwater emergence and shoaling along the Virginia, Georgia, and Florida coasts
Groundwater emergence and shoaling extents are derived from water table depth GeoTIFFs, which are calculated as steady-state groundwater model heads subtracted from high-resolution topographic digital elevation model (DEM) land surface elevations. Results are provided as shapefiles of water table depth in specific depth ranges. Similar modeled data for North Carolina and South Carolina are available from Barnard and others, 2023 at https://doi.org/10.5066/P9W91314. |
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Projected groundwater head along the Virginia, Georgia, and Florida coasts
Seamless unconfined groundwater heads for U.S. coastal Virginia, Georgia, and Florida (Atlantic and Gulf coast south of Sarasota) groundwater systems were modeled with homogeneous, steady-state MODFLOW simulations. The geographic extent examined was limited primarily to low-elevation (land surface less than approximately 10 m above mean sea level) areas. Steady-state MODFLOW groundwater flow models were used to obtain detailed (50-meter-scale) predictions over large geographic scales (100s of kilometers) of ... |
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Projected water table depths along the Virginia, Georgia, and Florida coasts
To predict water table depths, seamless groundwater heads for unconfined coastal Virginia, Georgia, and Florida (Atlantic and Gulf coast south of Sarasota) groundwater systems were modeled with homogeneous, steady-state MODFLOW simulations. The geographic extent examined was limited primarily to low-elevation (land surface less than approximately 10 m above mean sea level) areas. Steady-state MODFLOW groundwater flow models were used to obtain detailed (50-meter-scale) predictions over large geographic ... |
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Vertical land motion rates for the years 2007 to 2020 for the U.S. Atlantic coast
This dataset contains rates of land subsidence and uplift derived from Sentinel-1A/B (2015-2020) and ALOS (2007-2011) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellites, at approximately 50-75 m resolution and mm-level precision for the U.S. Atlantic coast except for the states of North and South Carolina. The data consist of vertical land motion (VLM) rates and the 1-sigma error in land motion rates and are available as csv files. Similar vertical land motion rates for North Carolina and South Carolina are ... |
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Satellite-derived shorelines for the U.S. Atlantic coast (1984-2021)
This dataset contains shoreline positions derived from available Landsat satellite imagery for five states (Delaware, Maryland, Viginia, Georgia, and Florida) along the U.S. Atlantic coast for the time period 1984 to 2021. An open-source toolbox, CoastSat (Vos and others, 2019a and 2019b), was used to classify coastal Landsat imagery and detect shorelines at the sub-pixel scale. Resulting shorelines are presented in KMZ format. Significant uncertainty is associated with the locations of shorelines in ... |
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Nearshore parametric wave setup future projections (2020-2050) for the U.S. Atlantic coast
This dataset presents alongshore wave setup timeseries for three states (Virginia, Georgia, and Florida) along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Wave setup was modelled using parameterization for open coast sandy beaches as presented in Stockdon and others (2006). The parameterization relates onshore wave setup to offshore wave conditions and beach characteristics. Wave conditions were extracted at approximately the 10 m depth contour and reverse shoaled to the deep-water condition. These data were then matched to ... |
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Nearshore water level, tide, and non-tidal residual future projections (2016-2050) for the U.S. Atlantic coast
A dataset of modeled nearshore water levels (WLs) was developed for three states (Virginia, Georgia, and Florida) along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Water levels, defined for this dataset as the linear sum of tides and non-tidal residuals (NTR), were produced by Muis and others (2016) using a global tide and surge model (GTSM) forced by global atmospheric fields. Water level outputs were extracted from the global grid at approximately 20 km resolution along the Atlantic coastline. These data were then ... |
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Nearshore water level, tide, and non-tidal residual hindcasts (1979-2016) for the U.S. Atlantic coast
A dataset of modeled nearshore water levels (WLs) was developed for three states (Virginia, Georgia, and Florida) along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Water levels, defined for this dataset as the linear sum of tides and non-tidal residuals (NTR), were produced by Muis and others (2016) using a global tide and surge model (GTSM) forced by global atmospheric fields -. Water level outputs were extracted from the global grid at approximately 20 km resolution along the coastlines. These data were then statistically ... |
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Nearshore parametric wave setup hindcast data (1979-2019) for the U.S. Atlantic coast
This dataset presents alongshore wave setup timeseries for three states (Virginia, Georgia, and Florida) along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Wave setup was modelled using parameterization for open coast sandy beaches as presented in Stockdon and others (2006). The parameterization relates onshore wave setup to offshore wave conditions and beach characteristics. Wave conditions were extracted at approximately the 10 m depth contour and reverse shoaled to the deep-water condition. These data were then matched to ... |
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Projections of coastal flood depths for the U.S. Atlantic coast
Projected depths from compound coastal flood hazards for future sea-level rise (SLR) and storm scenarios are shown for the U.S. Atlantic coast for three states (Florida, Georgia, and Virginia). Projections were made using a system of numerical models driven by output from Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and a tropical cyclone database from U.S. Army Corp of Engineers. The resulting data are depths of projected flood hazards along the U.S. Atlantic ... |
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Projections of coastal flood hazards and flood potential for the U.S. Atlantic coast
Projected impacts by compound coastal flood hazards for future sea-level rise (SLR) and storm scenarios are shown for the U.S. Atlantic coast for three states (Florida, Georgia, and southern Virginia). Accompanying uncertainty for each SLR and storm scenario, indicating total uncertainty from model processes and contributing datasets, are illustrated in maximum and minimum flood potential. As described by Nederhoff and others (2024), projections were made using a system of numerical models driven by output ... |
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Projections of coastal flood water elevations for the U.S. Atlantic coast
Projected water elevations from compound coastal flood hazards for future sea-level rise (SLR) and storm scenarios are shown for the U.S. Atlantic coast for three states (Florida, Georgia, and Virginia). Projections were made using a system of numerical models driven by output from Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and a tropical cyclone database from U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The resulting data are water elevations of projected flood hazards ... |
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